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This year may be biblical

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tp4tissue:
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 The world could breach 1.5 degrees of warming for the first time

El Niņo (This year) could -- for the first time -- push the world past 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above the pre-industrial levels of the mid-to-late 1800s.

Compared to pre-industrial temperatures. Scientists consider 1.5 degrees of warming as a key tipping point, beyond which the chances of extreme flooding, drought, wildfires and food shortages could increase dramatically.

A strong El Niņo could push the planet to that point, Scaife said, even if only temporarily.

"We will probably have, in 2024, the warmest year globally on record," Josef Ludescher a senior scientist at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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Australia due to their latitude breached 1.52 Celcius in 2019, climate change will affect them more quickly before the Americas. This breakthrough there brought upon "Black Summer." where an area of ~250,000 km^2 burned, the size of wyoming.  this was also the spark of their major climate upheaval, student protests.

for reference size

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For the past 3 years, despite record setting temperatures each year, we had the luck of La-Nina 3x in the row, a cooling (weather) event in the ocean,  THIS YEAR, it's going to be El-Nino, a potentially apocalyptic warming event.

Tp4 highly recommends "Burning (2021)" Documentary

CaesarAZealad:
Aren't you a ray of sunshine :\

tp4tissue:

tp4tissue:
OMG...  SUPER EL' Niņo

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/apr/12/climate-models-warn-of-possible-super-el-nino-before-end-of-year

fohat.digs:
The one thing that has tended to be true about forecasts of future global warming is that they usually dramatically underestimate what actually happens.

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