I still trust Ivan more than Massdrop
If a bus hit one of you, you wouldn't be able to get your keyset, similarly, a bus can hit anyone, a bus can hit the GB organiser, life is mortal, there is always the probability that a "serious" life event can disrupt a GB, and it seems to me that, in this case, that probably happened, so if there was a 1% chance none of us were getting anything, we are living that 1% scenario right now