What is the ETA for delivery? Yes, I know this is GMK we are talking about, still an ETA will give confidence.
The only thing you can be confident about with a GMK estimate is that it will be wrong. They have been late on 100% of their sets in the last 2 years. They would need to ship 66 sets tomorrow in order to catch up. At their current average of ~5-6 sets per month, that's a one year delay.
If the current rate of production stays the same, a set finishing today will ship in mid 2025.
If the current rate of production increases by 50%, then a set finishing today will ship in mid 2024.
If the current rate of production increases by 100% (doubles), then a set finishing today will finish in late 2023, which is the current GMK estimate for sets running currently.
You also have to remember that there is no color matching needed for this set. All these ETAS are (mostly) for new sets that need color matching which can take 6-12 months at least. We should be seeing this sooner than later because 1. Gmk is getting new machines from what I have seen on their socials which will make sets a lot faster and 2. it is already color matched and they just need to submit the order to gmk. Please correct me if im wrong!
It's all speculation, so nobody is 'wrong'. But looking at recent R2 sets, the average delay is ~176 days. By comparison, for R1 sets, the average delay is ~197 days. So we're looking at saving ~3 weeks.
GMK has been posting about adding new machines for over a year. The number of sets that they've been shipping per month has not changed at all over that time (4-7 sets per month, consistently). If I had to guess, I would suspect that most of the new machines are being used to pump out in stock white on black and red samurai sets for Drop.
Again - this is all speculation. But it's speculation based on a consistent track record, as opposed to GMK's estimates which have an accuracy of 0%. Just don't get too hyped up by the "it doesn't need colour matching" line, because all that means is that it's not going to be a blowout like GMK Nord or Dracula, not that it's going to bypass the massively congested queue somehow. The queue is not being held up by colour matching.
