19
« Last post by tp4tissue on Wed, 24 June 2026, 22:03:54 »
We're doomed to fail, because people are idiots, and OIL is mis-priced.
Most modern 1st wurlders have not done any physical labor relevant to their survival.
For example, Digging a hole.
Get yourself a PickAxe and Shovel. Try digging a hole just 2 feet deep. It is REALLY exhausting, especially if you've hit some gravel.
Pros can do it decently fast, but the average person will probably take 10-30 minutes. Then there's clean up, moving plants, filling it, watering.
ALL THAT to plant ONE THING.
People don't appreciate what ENERGY does.
The energy in a barrel of oil translated into HUMAN-mechanical-energy equivalent is 5-YEARS of physical labor.
This substance is actually "A GOOD DEAL" at virtually ANY PRICE.
But it's Priced at $60-100, most recently $150-200.
Even at this very elevated stage, pushing the economic system into near collapse, IT HAS collapsed in many places in Asia,,, Even at this price of $200, HUMANITY still under-appreciate its true value, and CONTINUE TO WASTE.
OIL does not come back, the next tranch in Energy is not-guaranteed-possible.
SOLAR / WIND do not replace what OIL does, neither its Portability, Easy Storage, Liquid at room temp, Does not require pressure vessels, nor its Importance in FEED STOCKS for other materals such as plastic.
Electricity can not replace oil. Not in the slightest in the vast majority of Industries.
Between then and there, is an Infinite set of distractions.
The slums of India, is the best case outcome for the majority of our future timeline.