The Economic Collapse

[tp4tissue]

Watching smart econo people arguing over the notion, is this going to be a recession or a depression.

LOLOL.. it don't matter what you call it..   You turn off the gas, EVERYTHING STOPS.

[tp4tissue]

People fail to understand that ALL MONEY SYSTEMS are Ponzi-Schemes.

It HAS to be this way, because Human-Beings are ****ty accountants.


The same reason behind why EMPIRES always fall.

[tp4tissue]

Ok... so..

We're seeing the talking heads now saying,  Long Gold, Long Hard Assets.

Mmmm.. Ok...... yes and Nooo!.


Think about it this way, IN the APOCALYPSE, what are you going to do with gold, trade it? Maybe in a mini-pocalypse, where fiats scale down, and gold being the original pokemon card, is the "trusted-older-better" fiat.

But in the REALpocalypse, GOLD is useless, people would rather own SHOES, CANNED SOUP.  The GOLD equivalent would be is CANNED PORK,  the Diamond equivalent would be CANNED PINEAPPLES, Iron Salt batteries.


So, yes on Hard Assets, be it oil, dirt, sand, something physical.


But GOLD?   

The risk here is, is it a mini-pocalypse, or a REAL-pocalypse.



Tp4 would lean harder on this-Wave being Realpocalypse.   So what are the HARD assets.  Where do people actually INTERACT with the "Stuff."

The billionaire investor class, interacts on the paper lvl, so he could indeed put bets on Material Inputs.

For general civilian,  they interact with material itself, they wear the actual shoes they can afford.


So, Hard assets may be 9070xts for a normal person.

For the mid-investor class, Hard assets is wholly characterized by what ?

RMB, why,  that's the gateway of exchange of REAL STUFF.



Grimini is going hard on Panda bonds, AND ANDDDDD, their bank has professed hard pivot on being the European corridor TO the RMB marketplace.



This doesn't mean any civilian should go out and buy RMB, you can't buy enough, and you can't take the risk, You're better off stacking Bags of rice, and 9070xts.

The normal civilian will be poor forever, and in an Energy-sparse world, it's only going to get worse.

[tp4tissue]

Investing in war-torn vkrin.

So, there are some hairbrain ideas out there,  you take out a few million in loans,  Go to Carkivh,  buy a soviet apartment building.


Each apartment go for 20k-60k, so yea, you can indeed buy a whole building.


The issue here is,  the way exlpozivs work, there's shockwave, and while a building might not look damaged, just a few broken windows,  cement internals may have cracks,  and the building would have to be demolished upon inspection.


The BET, here would be,  now that vrkin is deplete of MEN,  lots of average unimportant western skilled workers, could go in, and have a slightly elevated social status, and trade up in women.


Tp4 suspects this is somewhat of a long bet,  since in reality, the dearth in, in-demand skilled men exist in every country.


There is no lack of people to dig ditches.   And if you filled up the whole place with them, it's not an economic boon.